CHINA A50 ... Bottom Done ??

Hello All !! 

Welcome Back ... Today Coming with One More Index Analysis !! 

We are Now again Planning for Big Expansion of Our Forex Activities in coming Days. We will be Actively Operational in Next Few Weeks and Spreading through Every Corner of the World. We will be Live with our Analysis Support, Signal Services, Fund Management, Broking and Advisory For HNI and Ultra HNI Clients through out the World. 

Now Coming Back to the Analysis Part ... 

The Market That we are discussing Today is CHINA

The Index That we will be Looking at is 

CHINA A50 Index 

Let's Have a Look at the Chart .. 

This is Daily Time Frame Chart of the China A50 Futures, The Chart is Saying The Index Futures were Falling since a Long Time (We have Focused on a Small Duration for Clear Picture). 

The Falling Trendline is Restricting the Upside momentum of the Futures and Price was falling. Even the Small Period Exponential Moving Average also was Restricting the Futures to Rise. 

Finally The Futures Made a Double Bottom Kind of Structure at the Probable Bottom and Took a Breakout from the Falling Trendline. The Breakout can also be Considered as a Double Bottom Breakout. The Neckline was placed at 11360 approx. and the Bottom Formed at 10760 approx. This is a Structure with 600 points. After the breakout above the Neckline of Double Bottom as well as the Falling Trendline, The Futures Moved to 11658 and Spending Time in the Resistance zone. The Index Futures are Expected to Rise for a Target of 11960 as a Target of the Double Bottom Breakout and Then towards the Resistance of 12230.

The move will not be a straight Line move, so we Recommend to Buy the Futures on dip and Hold with the Targets in Mind. 

Summarising the Analysis and Trade as Below : 

CHINA A50 Futures 

Recommendation : Buy 

Buy Range : 11550 - 11360 

Stoploss : Closing Below 11160 

Take Profits : 11960 - 12230 

Risk / Reward is Good for the Trade. 

Risk Disclosures : 

• Follow Risk Management
• Do Not Jump in With Heavy Lot Sizes.
• Consult your Financial Adviser before taking the Trade. 

Disclaimer : 

The Analyst, Shinde Atul S. is a Technical Analyst and Certified Investment Adviser having an Experience of More than 17 years in International Market Analysis and Fund Management for Clients All Over the World. The Analyst is Considered as Global Markets Expert. DO Not Follow Blindly if you are new here, Just follow updates and Track the Trade given before Jumping into the Trade. 

We will be Posting a Lot of Analysis on Global Markets and Forex Trades. 

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AUSTRALIA ASX 200 ... Breaking Out !!

Hello All !! 

Posting on this Blog After a Long Time. Was Almost inactive on Blogs and FB, Working through WhatsApp with Limited Clients as of Now due to Restrictions in Man Power and Time Limits for Last 2-3 Years. 

Now again Planning for Big Expansion of Our Forex Activities in coming Days. We will be Actively Operational in Next Few Weeks and Spreading through Every Corner of the World. We will be Live with our Analysis Support, Signal Services, Fund Management, Broking and Advisory For HNI and Ultra HNI Clients through out the World. 

Now Coming Back to the Analysis Part ... 

Today we are going to Discuss One Market, which is Going to Rally as the Index has Taken Breakout on Charts. 

The Market That we are discussing Today is The AUSTRALIAN Market. 

The Index That we will be Looking at is 

S&P ASX 200 (AUSTRALIA) 

Let's have a Look at the Chart : 

The Index as we can see on the Weekly Timeframe Chart has given a Breakout after a Long time and Good Consolidation. 

After the Covid Lows, The Markets Recovered Breaking Pre Covid High But Were Struggling for a Long time and Were Reluctant to Move Higher. During Last 3 Years or so, the Index has spent time facing Resistance around 7642 Levels. While Doing it, We have seen that the Index has Formed a Inverted Head and Shoulder Pattern and in Last Few Months we can also see formation of a Bullish Flag Pattern. 

The Breakouts are done and Now the Index has also crossed the Resistance level of 7642. The Breakout is Confirmed as the weekly closing is Far away from the Neckline and Will be safer here. 

The Breakout is of almost 1000 points as per the H&S Breakout structure. considering the Breakout above 7642 and The Target of 1000 points above the Neckline. We Can Say The Index will show The Levels of 7999 - 8222 - 8666 Levels in coming Months. 

The Support in This Case will be a Close below 7400 Levels, which is Approx 300 Points from Current Levels. The Risk Reward here is Approx 1:3 Kind of thing, which is Fine for a Trade. 

The Recommendation here is : 

BUY ASX 200 

Buy Range 7680 - 7480 

Stoploss : close Below 7380 

Take Profits : 7999 - 8222 - 8666 

Risk : Reward = 1 : 3 

Risk : Approx 300 Points From 7680 Levels 

Reward : Approx 1000 Points From 7680 Levels

Follow Risk Management 

Do Not Jump in Without Considering Risk Management 

Do Not Trade without Guidance of a Financial Adviser. 

Disclaimer : 

The Analyst, Shinde Atul S. is a Technical Analyst and Certified Investment Adviser having an Experience of More than 17 years in International Market Analysis and Fund Management for Clients All Over the World. The Analyst is Considered as Global Markets Expert. DO Not Follow Blindly if you are new here, Just follow updates and Track the Trade given before Jumping into the Trade. 

We will be Posting a Lot of Analysis on Global Markets and Forex Trades. 

You May Follow us For Detailed Analysis and Trade Updates on Following Methods : 

Free WhatsApp Channel : 

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Free YouTube Channel : 

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WORST CRASH COMING ??

Hello All !! 

Back Again with my Market Analysis on Global Indices... Reason of the Post is Just a Quick Crash Today and Started Getting Many Queries... 

We Will See Only 2 Indices Today ... After this Analysis, Just Scroll Down the Blog and Read Earlier Analysis. Compare the two Posts and Then you will Find How My Analysis Works !! 

Starting With 

DOW JONES (US30) 

This is a Chart From My Trading Terminal, So Ignore the Setup.. Just Focus on What's Happening. This is a Weekly Chart, My Supports and Trendlines are Always Marked here. I Don't See any Reason to Panic yet, The Only Thing Worrying is the Bearish Piercing Candle. The Week is not complete yet and The Support is also not touched yet. So We may See a Quick Drop Tomorrow and then a Sharp recovery to make a Stronger Bullish Candle on Daily Chart to Avoid Further Fall. 

Let's Move on to Next Chart 

This is My Regular Setup to Watch Charts. 

This is Just a Daily Chart and I Can See The Price Moving in a Rising Channel, Current Fall is a Attempt to Touch the Lower Support of the Rising Channel, so they can make More Room For Upside (my View). 

The Price will be Finding Support with 

A 100 Day Simple Moving Average

A Rising Channel Support 

A Trend Line, Marked in Dotted Gray Color 

A Strong Support Line Marked in Strong Red Color 

Everything May be Invalid for a TOO STRONG Reason to Fall. But With FED Pumping Money and Global Lock Downs Ending every where, Life Warming up For Businesses.. It Looks Difficult to break. 

 One More Daily Chart with a Slightly Different Setup. Here We Can See 2 Trendlines, Support and Fibo Retracement Levels. 

Now you Can be Sure of DOW Fall Getting Slower and Coming to Halt due to Multiple Supports on the Chart. Upside Potential is Big and With Current Risk : Reward Ratio.. I won't Say market is Bearish. 

This is a Smaller Time frame Chart.. 4 Hr. Chart For More Clear Picture. 

In this Chart I have Plotted a 50 Period Simple Moving Average to See The Rising Channel Support Perfectly matching the Moving average. The 2 Supports are Marked and The Resistance also. 

As per the Charts, I will be Looking at a Opportunity to Long with a Small SL and Big, Very Big Targets. 

Last Analysis on the Index Proved Very Correct, Generating Nearly 3000 Points in the Trade. Those Who Have Missed the Rally, May be this is your Chance to Enter again with a Small SL for another Big Set of Rally. This Time I Will be Looking at a Target of 30,000 and Above. Simply Put, I will be Happy to Set a SL of 24700 and a Entry Near 25000 For a Target of 27400 - 30000+ ... 300 points SL and 5000 Points upmove. Though this will not be a Simple One Way Rally as Adviced Earlier. 

We Will be seeing many Roller-Coaster Rides Like Current Fall. But the Trend is Still Unchanged For me. Those Who are Happy Trading 200-300 Points May feel Trend Change on their 10-15 min Charts. But the Charts say something different. 

Moving on to Next Index 

NIFTY 50 

The Indian Broader Index. 

The Chart here is a Daily Chart, Similar to DOW Chart.. We Can see a Rising Channel and Price Moving within the Channel. The 100 Period Weighted Moving Average is Supporting in Between to Horizontal Support Lines. 9720 & 9580. These 2 Supports are Strong and Simultaneously Supported by a Moving Average Support and a Rising Channel Support. Multiple Supports in a Small Area. 

You May also watch a Fibo Retracement Pattern. A Sustained Move and Reversal Move Above 9872 will Confirm Our Next Target of 10430. and 11222. I have Mentioned This Last Target on My Earlier Index Analysis on My Indian Market Blog Under the Series of MARKET OUTLOOK. You Might Like to have a Look at the analysis.  CLICK HERE

Hope You will Find it Useful !! 

The Blog Post is Created in a Hurry, if any Spelling and Analysis Mistakes are found please understand the efforts. 

The Disclaimer is not Posted Today, Find it with Other Blog Posts, it Never Changes so Not using it here. Just Keep Reading Blog Posts to Understand the Analysis and Charts. 

The World is Not Going to End Soon !!

Hello Guys !! 

Welcome Back after a Long time on the Blog, Wasn't Able to Post on Blog since Long due to Work Load and Work From Home Due to Pandemic. Too many Things to handle and It's a Tough Job !!

We Witnessed a Market Crash and a fear among the Traders and Investors across the Globe! 

In Overall Situations.. We have seen a Smart Play by Smart Investors and Big Hands across all Markets including Indices, Commodities and Currencies. I have been updating continuously to our Paid Group Members during all this time and Many times said One thing in most of my analysis of situation. 

It's a Big Game by Smart Minds of the World. The Global Economy is currently dominated by three kinds of Mafia, Weapons, Oil and Pharma are the 3 segments who control all Global Economies. Current Situation was a Kind of War, A Different kind of War to Control smaller Economies. 

Many guys were expecting a Very Bad markets and doomed economies... But what is happening is beyond understanding of retail players. Smart Money Fooled all Small, retail Players.. Even some Fund Managers, Hedge Funds, Analysts also went wrong in this situation. 

Let'e See What is Happening Across Different Markets.. 

Today I am Posting Analysis of Few Major Globally Tracked Stock Market Indices. All the Views Posted here are Positional Here and One Can not Expect a Quick Intraday move in All those Recommendations. The Levels Given are Important levels, you may consider them for your Trading decision. One Can Trade Underlying Stocks with our Index Views... Be Careful, All the Levels are Applicable for Next Few Months Time and We Don't Expect a Straight Line Move as per our Expectations. It will be a Wild Moving Market. Trade Smaller Trades with CFD's ... Avoid Futures. Follow Risk Management !! 

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Starting With US Markets and the Most Watched Stock Market Index : 

DOW JONES INDUSTRIAL AVERAGE (DOW30 or US30) 

This is a Monthly Chart, 

What I see in this Chart, is Very Clear Picture...The Index Never turned bearish. 

Yes, You Heard it the Right way... Just Have a look at the Chart, 

I have Marked 2 Trend Lines on the Chart. 

First Trend Line is in Light Gray Color starting from 1999-2000.. Drawn from Top Connecting all Highs and Extended to current Levels.

Second Trend Line is Drawn in Dotted Black Color, starting from 2010 to Till date.  

The First Trend Line acts as a Support Now and We can See it has given Support to price at the Lows. 

The Second Trend Line was Broken and price closed below the Trend line for some time but managed to Pierce the Line again and Moved above the Trend Line, respecting the Trend. 

We can See Few Support Lines also. The Support at 18216 was a Strong Resistance in 2015 and Rejected Price Multiple times in 2015 & 2016. The Same Resistance is acting as a Support Now. Current Low is Exactly on the same Support Line. 

The Support at Higher level 23350 is Broken to fall and again pierced to reverse above the Support. Current Monthly Candle is Comfortably Trading above the Support line. 

A 100 Period Simple Moving Average is also Placed, Which works Perfectly fine as a Support Near Longer Term Trend Line. 

So We have Seen Multiple Supports Near 18000-19000 zone which was respected and Price Recovered very Sharply to again gain Strength and Move in a Rising Uptrend. 

Let's See a Clear Picture on Weekly Chart .. 

This is the Chart of Weekly Time Frame. The Picture may be More clear now. The Lines are same as per the Monthly Chart, No Changes done. 

Only Thing I have Changed is the Moving Average, Here I have added a 200 Period Simple Moving Average. 

Adjusted some Support Lines to fine Tune them to get perfect Levels. Now Anyone with a Very Basic Knowledge of Charts can also say.. It's still a Bull Market. 

We May Still See some Volatility, which I am not Ignoring. But Levels are Very Clear now and the Trades can be taken accordingly.. 

Let's See More Details .. 

This is a 4 Hour Chart of the same Index. Here I can sense a Bullish Formation of Cup & Handle, having neckline at 24740 approx. A Breakout above the neckline will ensure we get a strong rally soon. I will be expecting a retest of All time High if the breakout succeeds and No More Bad News on Global Scale emerge. 

Recommendation Here is : 

BUY DOW JONES 

Buy Above 24740 

Stoploss : 23350 

Take Profits : 26820 - 29260

Obviously This will not be a straight line journey, We may Expect many ups and downs in the process. So trade Carefully and Avoid Futures, Better Buy CFD's to avoid Expiry day worries. 

Moving On to Next Index ... 

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Here is the World's Most Tracked Index 

S&P 500 

Let's See the Charts .. 

This is a Monthly Chart and as you all Can See, it's a Clean uptrend... Tried to Fail in Last 2 months due to the COVID-19 Pandemic but supported by old Strong Level of 2140-2150. The Index then Moved up and Pierced the Rising Trend Line again to Trade in an uptrend. The Additional Support was provided by the 50 Period Simple Moving Average. Last Month the Index faced Resistance to cross important resistance level of 2940, But managed to Cross this Month and it will Prove to be an important level in the upcoming period. Monthly Closing above 2940 will prove good for the Markets Globally and The S&P500 will move towards the All Time High again.

Let's See a Detailed view in Lower Time Frame: 

This is a Daily Time Frame Chart, The Breakout of Bullish Cup&Handle is already done and sustaining above the Neckline. We will see a Strong upmove towards 3140 and 3399 levels in coming months for sure. Only condition for this upmove is, the S&P500 should not break 2820 level soon. I am Personally seeing a Rally towards New All Time High Very Soon. Again the Same is will happen only if there is no Bad News on Global Scale on a Larger Scale. I am Actually seeing many Positive News and Developments ahead which includes a Positive development of Vaccine for the COVID-19.

Recommendation Here is : 

BUY S&P500 

Buy level : 2940-2950 

Stoploss : 2820 

Take Profits : 3140 - 3399 

Trade Carefully. 

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Next Index on the Radar is : 

NASDAQ COMPOSITE

Starting with a Chart .. 

This is a Monthly Chart of NASDAQ COMPOSITE Index, The Index is consistently in uptrend since 2008 crash and it is clearly visible on the chart. The Rising Trendline is respected continuously and is Supported by a 50 Period Simple Moving Average. The uptrend is still intact during this Volatility. There was a Sharp Correction but supported around by the Trend Line and the Moving Average. There was a Strong Resistance after the Fall around 8180 levels. The Level is Broken and the Index is again moving higher. Nearing the All time High again. We Might See the New All time High and a Move Towards 11800 in coming months. 

Recommendation here is : 

BUY NASDAQ COMPOSITE 

Buy Level : 9200-9400

Stoploss : 8180

Take Profits : 9820 - 11800 

This is not the NASDAQ 100 that is tracked in Media. so Be careful with levels and do not mix up. trade carefully 

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Next Index on Our Radar Will be 

DAX 30 (GERMANY) 

Starting with a Chart : 

The Trend is clearly a Rising Trend in this Index, Nothing to worry yet. All is Well and under control of Smart Money. I will be Little Quick in Analysis as it is Almost the Same in Many Indices. This Index was Struggling at all time High since a long time and finally got a chance to correct sharply with the Entry of the #chinesevirus. Once the Sharp Fall occurred, Most of the Shorts in System might have been liquidated as they got a chance to book profits after a Long time. After the Sharp move down, Smart Money took Control and The Index Reversed Equally Strong to recover major losses on the Index. In the Process, the Index crossed Strong Resistance around 10370 and 11330. Now Strong Resistance is at 11685 Only and above that We have Few Smaller Resistances till the Previous All time High is touched. We Need to Cross 11685 Level with Strength and sustain above that level. I am sure it will be done.. Reason? 

Let's see the Daily Chart: 

Here is the reason, I am expecting the Important Resistance will be cleared.. The Chart is Similar to Other Global Major Indices. a Strong Bullish Cup & Handle Structure is formed and the Breakout is also seen above the Neckline of the formation. This formation really works with a great success ratio if it is formed at the right place. The Neckline is placed around 11340 and it is hardly 350 points away from the major resistance at 11680 level. Above the Neckline the Index will be Stronger unless and Untill we face a major bad News. 

Nothing to worry till it trades above 10370 Levels. 

Recommendation here in this Index is : 

DAX30 

Buy Level : 11340 - 11400 

Stoploss : 10370 

Take Profits : 11680 - 12580 - 13777 

Trade Carefully 

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Next Index On Our Radar Will be: 

NIKKEI 225 (JAPAN) 

Let's Start with a Chart .. 

This is One of the Finest Formation seen here, Perfect Rounding Bottom type Structure. Index is Moving Perfectly in this structure and I Expect the Index to Perform Exceptionally well in coming months. We can see a Rising Channel within this structure. The Rising Channel is respecting all the levels in ups and downs. Recently Tried to break the Channel but the Rounding bottom structure supported alongwith a 100 Period Simple Moving Average and the Index Managed to recover and Move again in the Rising Channel. 

A Major Resistance at 18320 is Crossed comfortably and trading above the level. Now Only 1 Important resistance ahead at 20880. If this is also crossed, we will see a Move Towards Recent High of 24160+

I am Expecting the Index to Move towards 29170 levels in coming months or years. This journey will not be smooth but you may focus on this Index for major moves and the constituent Stocks for Investment Purpose in longer Term. The Index has been always a Under performer, Now it's time to change the equations. 

We may see Daily Chart here .. 

The Daily Chart suggest the Level of 20880 as an important level for a Breakout and we will be Seeing a breakout above 20880 level. The Consolidation and Range Contraction at this levels is suggesting a Possibility of a breakout in this case. 

Recommendation here is : 

NIKKEI 225 

Buy Levels : 20600 - 20500 

Stoploss : 19800 

Take Profits : 22222 - 23333 - 24166 

Trade Carefully !! 

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Next Index to Watch here is 

HANGSENG 50 (HK50) 

Let's See the Chart... 

The Chart is a Monthly Chart with a Rising Trend Line, Supported by a 200 Period simple Moving Average. We can see a Support Level Working at 21250. it is Working as a confluence Point due to all 3, Trend Line, Moving Average and the Support Line Crossing each other at the same level. It has worked as a Strong Support so far. The Index is still in a Small Correction, Once it Crosses 24000 levels, we can expect Fire Works here. So For Any Possible trade Entry..Either wait for a Dip towards the Support or a Move Above the Resistance. Hang Seng was trading around 22950 When stock was downloaded. Today it closed at 23377, small distance away from crossing the resistance of 24000 level. Above 24000 We will see a move towards 28900 and most Probably a New all time High. 

Recommendation here is 

HANG SENG 

Buy Level : 24020 (Buy on Crossing Resistance) 

Stoploss : 23000 

Take Profit : 28900 

Or 

Buy Level : 22000 (Buy on Dips) 

Stoploss : 21250 

Take Profits : 24000 - 28900 

The Path will be Really bumpy ahead. Be Careful in taking leverage Positions. 

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ALL The Indices Discussed here are Major Indices tracked in the World. I was Planning to Cover More, But Then Time Limits and Restriction on Free Posting Applies. I have to keep Few Things For Paid Members as Well. 

ALL the Reading are based on charts posted here. Follow The Charts for Exits also. We May Not See Market Moving as Per Our Readings, Market may become Highly volatile in case of any adverse news or events following up the COVID-19 Pandemic. The Economies across the World are affected due to this small Virus. So Always be Safe and Trade safe. Will Keep Posting Trades On Our FREE WHATSAPP GROUPS and TELEGRAM CHANNEL. 

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Will Be Starting the Free Group Trade Postings From 1st June 2020. This is a First Look For the Same. 

We have many Free WhatsAPP Groups and a Telegram Channel for the Same. 

Join the Groups or the Channel and Follow the Analysis and Trades... 

The Links are as given Below : 

WHATSAPP Free Group No. 06 .... CLICK HERE 

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No Need to Join Both Groups... be in Anyone, All are same !! 

TELEGRAM Channel ... CLICK HERE

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Declaration: 

The Analyst ATUL SHINDE is a Technical Analyst and Expert in Global Markets analysis. He is a Certified Investment Adviser having experience of 13+ years in International Markets as a Service Provider and a Fund Manager. The Views are Based on Chart Analysis and The Analyst Reserves the RIGHT to be WRONG !! 

Trade with Proper Risk Management and Position Sizing.. Any Losses or Profits are your own.. do not come blaming us here !! You Know the Risk of trading Forex and Equities !! 

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#Dow30 #US30 #Nasdaq #sp500 #indices #US #DAX30 #Ger30 #HK50 #Nikkei225 #Japan #Germany #Hongkong #forex #Forextrading #trading #tips #fxsignals 

Learning Analysis the MAGICIAN's Way !!

Starting with this Quote was necessary as Most of the Traders do not like to read in details, they just need trade ideas where to buy and where to Sell, More than 90% of the traders I have came across in my 12 years of trading life are reluctant to read views. They Don't bother about anything but a few pips of trade. This Mindset is really Very bad for the Trading life of such people. 100% of the Successful Traders who Last more than 2-3 years of trading life are always ready to learn. Learning Helps you stay in the Markets for a Longer Period and Helps you keep earning for a Longer Period. 

Even I have Spent few years in Learning about Markets and Analysis in a Very difficult situation, it helped me sustain all these years in market. Every Trader learns something new everyday from Markets but to learn you must have the ability of understanding the basics behind things.

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It Will be Our 4th Batch in Last 1 Year But there will be a Difference this time.. 

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Yes, This Will be a SUPER LUCKY BATCH. 

Let's Have a Look at the Contents of the Course .. 

The Course will Focus on Following Topics 

1) Discussion on Analysis and Different Methods.

2) Technical Analysis Features, Concepts and Theories. 

3) Types of Charts 

4) using Different Types of Charts in Different Scenario's 

5) Trends : Defining Trends, Types and Identification of trends. Practical Approach in Trading. 

6) Supports & Resistance : Concepts, Identification and using Dynamic and Static Support & Resistance 

7) Chart Patterns : Concepts, Identification, Confirmations of pattern Breakouts

8) Understanding Candlesticks : Construction, Patterns, Behaviors

9) Identifying Trades as per PRICE ACTION TRADING 

10) Identifying The Reversals as per PAT

11) Different Concepts used in Price Action Trading 

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13) Moving Averages : Concepts, Construction, Combinations, Uses

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20) Positions Sizing 

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The Course Will Cover Many important Aspects Required in Practical Trading. 

DURATION of the Course Will be 

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1) Training on Weekends 

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3) Updates on Development on Charts throughout the Week 

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Normally The Charges of this Course are $299 Per Participant 

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